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Red137
66833.5
102544.3
180240.3
Blue178
21740.7
252167.6
565449.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11416850100150200250137178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#65
44.31.6
42.744.3
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.6
blue by 23.3
2521
#33
67.61.8
66.067.8
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
Second
1802
#19
40.31.6
38.740.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End8.8
blue by 9.4
5654
#40
49.71.8
48.049.7
Auto9.4
Teleop33.2
End6.8
Third
668
#52
33.51.6
32.033.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End9.5
blue by 7.2
217
#69
40.71.8
38.940.7
Auto7.1
Teleop26.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned