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Qual 152023 Johnson Division
Red143
427634.7
242937.5
129645.9
Blue103
365321.4
1655.7
16650.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112138050100200250143103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#31
45.92.3
41.9→44.2
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
blue by 9.8
16
#21
55.71.6
52.7→51.2
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1
Second
2429
#64
37.52.3
36.9→39.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 13.2
166
#35
50.81.6
50.5→48.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.2
End9.6
Third
4276
#61
34.72.3
29.9→32.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.0
End7.9
red by 13.3
3653
#54
21.41.6
23.4→21.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed