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Red141
637759.6
208031.4
139157.4
Blue139
477642.0
102544.3
434253.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513380100120140180200220141139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#10
59.60.4
53.953.5
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
red by 5.9
4342
#13
53.70.4
49.449.8
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Second
1391
#27
57.40.4
58.658.1
Auto15.6
Teleop29.1
End11.3
red by 13.2
1025
#65
44.30.4
38.138.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.6
Third
2080
#67
31.40.4
31.230.8
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End8.9
blue by 10.6
4776
#60
42.00.4
40.040.4
Auto13.4
Teleop19.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned