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Qual 242023 Johnson Division
Red121
167653.5
252167.6
683331.5
Blue134
915220.9
173056.5
178545.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210050150200121134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#33
67.61.5
65.2→63.6
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
red by 11.0
1730
#2
56.52.1
47.7→49.9
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
Second
1676
#29
53.51.5
49.7→48.2
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
red by 7.9
1785
#44
45.62.1
39.9→42.1
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
Third
6833
#51
31.51.5
29.0→27.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.3
End7.4
red by 10.7
9152
#68
20.92.4
14.1→16.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned