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Red195
449967.0
492050.3
207569.5
Blue111
379418.2
53331.9
460759.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1919750150250195111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.51.8
65.166.9
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
red by 10.1
4607
#45
59.40.5
53.353.9
Auto12.9
Teleop35.9
End9.8
Second
67.01.8
66.468.2
Auto17.3
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 35.1
533
#66
31.90.5
30.931.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Third
4920
#18
50.31.8
47.249.0
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
red by 32.1
3794
#63
18.20.5
18.719.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed