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Qual 362023 Johnson Division
Red154
48448.4
401142.0
543441.2
Blue103
53331.9
774826.2
97156.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132131110120140150160154103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#23
48.40.8
48.9→49.7
Auto12.2
Teleop28.6
End6.7
blue by 8.0
971
#57
56.41.4
66.5→65.2
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
Second
4011
#11
42.00.8
34.2→34.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
red by 10.2
533
#66
31.91.4
31.5→30.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Third
5434
#50
41.20.8
40.7→41.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
red by 15.0
7748
#75
26.21.5
25.5→24.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed