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Qual 382023 Johnson Division
Red100
97366.7
915220.9
921325.6
Blue138
217042.1
379418.2
207569.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9714150200250100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
66.70.2
59.4→59.6
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
blue by 2.8
2075
#1
69.50.4
66.9→66.5
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
Second
9213
#73
25.60.2
20.8→21.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End6.7
blue by 16.5
2170
#58
42.10.4
41.2→40.8
Auto7.8
Teleop26.7
End8.2
Third
9152
#68
20.90.2
16.5→16.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 2.6
3794
#63
18.20.4
19.2→18.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned