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Red145
35960.6
614644.3
505046.7
Blue124
543145.8
903723.5
129645.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310050150200250145124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
60.60.5
61.961.4
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
red by 14.8
1296
#31
45.91.4
42.243.6
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Second
5050
#43
46.70.5
55.655.1
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.5
red by 0.9
5431
#47
45.81.4
42.944.4
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Third
6146
#38
44.30.6
40.039.4
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End8.9
red by 20.8
9037
#72
23.51.4
17.518.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned