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Red134
171447.1
217042.1
242937.5
Blue147
683331.5
637759.6
460759.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12715150100200250134147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#56
47.10.1
45.545.7
Auto13.4
Teleop24.5
End8.8
blue by 12.5
6377
#10
59.60.6
55.255.8
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Second
2170
#58
42.10.1
40.840.9
Auto7.8
Teleop26.7
End8.2
blue by 17.3
4607
#45
59.40.6
55.255.8
Auto12.9
Teleop35.9
End9.8
Third
2429
#64
37.50.1
35.635.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
red by 6.0
6833
#51
31.50.6
28.228.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned