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Qual 502023 Johnson Division
Red124
283249.2
921325.6
168457.2
Blue154
2816.4
333953.8
449967.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12515650100200250124154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#24
57.20.2
56.6→56.8
Auto12.0
Teleop35.4
End9.5
blue by 9.8
4499
#7
67.00.7
70.1→70.8
Auto17.3
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
2832
#46
49.20.2
43.2→43.4
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End9.4
blue by 4.6
3339
#6
53.80.7
54.9→55.7
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
Third
9213
#73
25.60.2
21.0→21.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End6.7
red by 9.2
28
#71
16.40.7
20.6→21.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned