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Red145
691954.0
915220.9
543441.2
Blue146
129645.9
66833.5
283249.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311580100140145146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#34
54.00.1
57.357.4
Auto12.9
Teleop33.5
End7.5
red by 4.7
2832
#46
49.22.1
43.445.6
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End9.4
Second
5434
#50
41.20.1
39.940.0
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
blue by 4.6
1296
#31
45.92.1
39.841.9
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Third
9152
#68
20.90.1
17.517.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.6
blue by 12.7
668
#52
33.52.1
25.627.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned