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Red172
154050.8
5162.8
8861.1
Blue142
614644.3
543441.2
173255.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17714150100200250172142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#4
62.80.3
61.461.8
Auto14.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0
red by 7.3
1732
#25
55.50.4
55.055.4
Auto13.7
Teleop34.3
End6.7
Second
88
#12
61.10.3
58.759.0
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
red by 16.8
6146
#38
44.30.4
43.143.5
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End8.9
Third
1540
#48
50.80.3
46.847.2
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
red by 9.6
5434
#50
41.20.4
40.540.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned