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Red148
242937.5
206753.6
28152.2
Blue151
755857.0
217042.1
173056.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146161100200250148151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#14
53.60.3
51.151.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
blue by 3.4
57.00.1
54.754.8
Auto15.9
Teleop32.0
End7.7
Second
281
#22
52.20.3
50.450.7
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End6.4
blue by 4.3
56.50.1
53.653.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
Third
2429
#64
37.50.3
39.139.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 4.6
2170
#58
42.10.1
41.341.4
Auto7.8
Teleop26.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned