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Red182
637759.6
171862.8
42256.4
Blue171
35960.6
333953.8
252167.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179184100150200250182171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.3
61.561.8
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
blue by 4.8
2521
#33
67.60.0
67.667.6
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
Second
6377
#10
59.60.3
58.358.6
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
blue by 1.0
359
#15
60.60.0
60.760.6
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
Third
422
#55
56.40.3
55.155.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7
red by 2.6
53.80.0
53.953.8
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1