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Red159
154050.8
173056.5
715765.1
Blue172
42256.4
171862.8
637759.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176183100150200250300159172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#41
65.10.2
65.365.1
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 2.3
62.80.0
62.662.6
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
Second
56.50.2
56.756.5
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
blue by 3.1
6377
#10
59.60.0
59.459.4
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Third
1540
#48
50.80.2
51.050.8
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
blue by 5.6
422
#55
56.40.0
56.356.3
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7