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Red180
154050.8
173056.5
715765.1
Blue149
168457.2
755857.0
133959.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174179100150200250180149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#41
65.10.4
64.364.7
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 5.8
1339
#37
59.30.4
58.958.5
Auto14.4
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
56.50.4
55.856.1
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
blue by 0.7
1684
#24
57.20.4
57.657.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.4
End9.5
Third
1540
#48
50.80.4
50.150.4
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
blue by 6.1
57.00.4
56.656.2
Auto15.9
Teleop32.0
End7.7