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Red206
931258.1
97366.7
207569.5
Blue203
1655.7
5162.8
8861.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191178100150200250206203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.5
67.067.5
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
red by 6.8
51
#4
62.80.8
60.861.6
Auto14.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0
Second
973
#5
66.70.5
64.264.7
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 5.6
88
#12
61.10.8
59.259.9
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
Third
9312
#17
58.10.5
55.656.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
red by 2.4
16
#21
55.70.8
53.754.5
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1