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Red84
526818.7
235730.2
176923.4
Blue74
583725.1
509821.9
184716.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68490204060801001201401608474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#17
30.21.4
22.624.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 5.1
5837
#14
25.12.9
20.423.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Second
1769
#20
23.41.4
18.720.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0
red by 1.4
5098
#12
21.92.9
14.317.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End6.9
Third
5268
#24
18.71.4
20.121.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End3.9
red by 2.2
1847
#27
16.52.9
13.616.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed