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Red52
199414.3
180623.6
372934.0
Blue89
176410.8
501331.2
171039.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5683020401001201405289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.4
20.419.9
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
blue by 5.8
39.81.1
24.825.9
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
Second
1806
#28
23.60.4
20.019.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
blue by 7.6
31.21.1
29.030.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
Third
1994
#26
14.30.4
15.515.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End3.9
red by 3.6
1764
#31
10.81.1
20.621.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned