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Qual 222023 Heartland Regional
Red72
176315.0
480921.7
511937.9
Blue78
514719.6
176923.4
219726.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606302040801001201401607278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#16
37.91.7
24.2→25.8
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 11.7
2197
#23
26.20.9
20.4→21.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Second
4809
#22
21.71.7
21.0→22.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
blue by 1.7
1769
#20
23.41.6
23.3→24.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Third
1763
#30
15.01.7
11.7→13.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
blue by 4.7
5147
#15
19.61.6
15.3→16.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed