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Red89
176315.0
171039.8
219726.2
Blue80
235730.2
511937.9
17239.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080908980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.1
27.528.6
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 1.8
5119
#16
37.92.1
25.827.9
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
2197
#23
26.20.7
21.322.0
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
blue by 4.0
2357
#17
30.22.1
27.429.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Third
1763
#30
15.01.1
13.414.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
red by 5.3
1723
#33
9.62.1
8.010.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsEarned