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Qual 312023 Heartland Regional
Red55
17239.6
480921.7
882532.1
Blue78
766211.9
180623.6
511937.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63664050607080905578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8825
#13
32.11.1
23.4→22.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End7.8
blue by 5.8
5119
#16
37.91.2
27.9→29.2
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
4809
#22
21.71.1
26.4→25.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
blue by 2.0
1806
#28
23.61.2
21.2→22.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Third
1723
#33
9.61.1
10.1→9.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 2.2
7662
#32
11.91.2
12.8→14.1
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed