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Red88
171039.8
235730.2
177517.3
Blue63
514118.7
480921.7
180623.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786520401001208863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.1
31.531.6
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 16.1
1806
#28
23.60.1
22.422.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Second
2357
#17
30.20.1
27.327.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 8.5
4809
#22
21.70.1
25.325.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
Third
1775
#19
17.30.1
13.013.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End4.9
blue by 1.4
5141
#21
18.70.1
14.714.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed