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Qual 482023 Heartland Regional
Red105
199414.3
182725.0
198758.1
Blue83
511937.9
245717.5
177517.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9558020408012014016010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#1
58.11.6
51.7→53.3
Auto16.2
Teleop32.1
End9.9
red by 20.2
5119
#16
37.91.5
32.3→33.8
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
1827
#9
25.01.6
20.5→22.1
Auto10.2
Teleop8.7
End6.1
red by 7.5
2457
#25
17.51.5
13.3→14.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.8
Third
1994
#26
14.31.6
12.2→13.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End3.9
blue by 2.9
1775
#19
17.31.5
13.1→14.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed