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Qual 512023 Heartland Regional
Red106
514118.7
318453.0
882532.1
Blue95
512626.4
495920.8
219726.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946220408012014016010695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#2
53.01.6
45.7→47.3
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End7.7
red by 26.6
5126
#11
26.43.1
23.2→26.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
Second
8825
#13
32.11.6
24.2→25.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End7.8
red by 5.9
2197
#23
26.22.2
21.7→23.9
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Third
5141
#21
18.71.6
14.3→15.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End4.7
blue by 2.1
4959
#18
20.82.2
17.6→19.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned