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Qual 542023 Heartland Regional
Red102
173039.4
199414.3
511937.9
Blue87
811214.5
372934.0
235730.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927420406010012014016010287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#4
39.40.8
36.3→37.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 5.4
3729
#6
34.00.5
28.2→28.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
Second
5119
#16
37.90.8
33.8→34.6
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 7.7
2357
#17
30.20.5
29.8→30.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Third
1994
#26
14.30.8
13.8→14.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End3.9
blue by 0.2
8112
#35
14.50.5
13.9→14.4
Auto1.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsEarned