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Qual 592023 Heartland Regional
Red68
926916.5
511937.9
811214.5
Blue96
509821.9
372934.0
182725.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473204060801001206896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#16
37.91.0
34.6→33.5
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 3.9
3729
#6
34.02.5
28.7→31.2
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
Second
9269
#10
16.51.0
20.4→19.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 8.5
1827
#9
25.02.5
20.9→23.3
Auto10.2
Teleop8.7
End6.1
Third
8112
#35
14.51.1
14.4→13.3
Auto1.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 7.4
5098
#12
21.92.5
18.7→21.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned