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Qual 62023 Heartland Regional
Red102
583725.1
512626.4
501331.2
Blue53
17239.6
171039.8
173039.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7078020406010012014010253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#5
31.21.7
27.3→29.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
blue by 8.6
1710
#3
39.82.1
26.9→24.8
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
Second
5126
#11
26.41.7
20.7→22.4
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
blue by 13.0
1730
#4
39.42.1
26.2→24.1
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
5837
#14
25.11.7
18.7→20.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End5.9
red by 15.5
1723
#33
9.62.1
18.8→16.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed