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Qual 642023 Heartland Regional
Red60
235730.2
512626.4
926916.5
Blue84
245717.5
583725.1
171039.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83802040601001201401606084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#17
30.21.4
31.0→29.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
blue by 9.6
1710
#3
39.80.3
34.4→34.7
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
Second
5126
#11
26.41.4
26.7→25.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
red by 1.3
5837
#14
25.10.3
23.5→23.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Third
9269
#10
16.51.4
19.4→18.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 1.0
2457
#25
17.50.3
17.3→17.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned