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Red123
171039.8
173039.4
180623.6
Blue113
511937.9
176923.4
501331.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059350150200123113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.6
37.938.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 1.8
5119
#16
37.90.5
36.837.3
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
39.40.6
37.438.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 8.2
31.20.6
29.930.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
Third
1806
#28
23.60.6
21.522.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 0.3
1769
#20
23.40.5
22.222.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0