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Red122
299247.5
880831.4
347852.5
Blue147
452264.9
463553.7
208030.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14016180100120180200220240122147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.4
53.352.9
Auto14.4
Teleop28.5
End9.6
blue by 12.4
64.90.7
65.865.1
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
Second
47.50.4
48.347.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
blue by 6.2
53.70.7
54.653.9
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
Third
8808
#19
31.40.4
32.331.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
red by 0.5
2080
#18
30.90.7
31.831.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8