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Red53
596513.1
361637.8
709425.9
Blue129
162244.8
393749.2
191230.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53133010015020053129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
37.80.5
29.228.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
blue by 11.4
3937
#17
49.20.9
50.651.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
Second
7094
#23
25.90.5
18.017.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End6.4
blue by 18.8
44.80.9
36.637.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
Third
5965
#31
13.10.8
12.812.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End3.9
blue by 17.3
1912
#28
30.50.9
27.728.6
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned