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Red97
728811.9
299247.5
410722.8
Blue141
159234.4
1650.3
208030.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610705015020097141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.5
39.140.5
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
blue by 2.8
16
#2
50.32.6
45.147.7
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
Second
4107
#37
22.81.5
21.723.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 11.6
1592
#11
34.43.2
25.228.4
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
Third
7288
#27
11.92.4
14.416.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 19.0
2080
#18
30.92.9
26.229.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned