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Red127
36434.8
463553.7
586324.8
Blue55
208030.9
930917.4
599725.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1125905010015012755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.9
55.557.4
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
red by 22.8
2080
#18
30.90.5
29.128.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Second
364
#13
34.81.9
30.832.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
red by 9.6
5997
#29
25.20.5
18.317.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.4
Third
5863
#16
24.83.2
12.315.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.6
End6.5
red by 7.4
9309
#34
17.40.8
14.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed