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Red25
915318.4
586324.8
597117.3
Blue74
924018.7
880831.4
222114.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536501001502002574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#16
24.82.9
17.314.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.6
End6.5
blue by 6.6
8808
#19
31.40.5
30.329.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Second
9153
#35
18.41.5
15.313.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
blue by 0.3
9240
#22
18.72.8
18.715.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
5971
#26
17.32.9
17.114.2
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.6
red by 3.1
2221
#30
14.20.5
12.612.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsMissed