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Qual 212023 Bayou Regional
Red32
709425.9
578510.5
346823.9
Blue75
222114.2
596513.1
1650.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527902040601001201401603275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7094
#23
25.91.4
19.4→18.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End6.4
blue by 24.4
16
#2
50.30.3
47.9→48.2
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
Second
3468
#33
23.91.4
18.5→17.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 9.7
2221
#30
14.20.3
13.7→14.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Third
5785
#39
10.52.3
14.6→12.4
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End5.3
blue by 2.6
5965
#31
13.10.5
9.3→9.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned