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Qual 262023 Bayou Regional
Red152
36434.8
162244.8
299247.5
Blue73
393749.2
728811.9
45633.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219740608014016018015273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#6
47.52.8
39.1→41.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
blue by 1.7
3937
#17
49.21.4
51.8→50.4
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
Second
1622
#8
44.82.8
38.4→41.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
red by 11.1
456
#7
33.71.4
25.0→23.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End9.9
Third
364
#13
34.82.8
32.7→35.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
red by 22.9
7288
#27
11.92.3
17.2→14.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed