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Red103
346823.9
408732.3
162244.8
Blue112
303954.0
915318.4
299247.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90131406080100120140160180200103112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.9
41.342.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
blue by 9.2
54.00.7
52.952.1
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Second
32.30.9
27.228.2
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
blue by 15.2
47.50.7
47.746.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
Third
3468
#33
23.90.9
20.721.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 5.5
9153
#35
18.41.1
17.516.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned