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Red141
1650.3
360615.7
452264.9
Blue124
586324.8
45633.7
804429.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1426950100150141124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.5
64.164.6
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
red by 31.1
456
#7
33.73.0
26.029.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End9.9
Second
16
#2
50.30.5
46.647.0
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
red by 21.1
8044
#14
29.23.0
26.229.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2
Third
3606
#25
15.70.7
14.114.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End8.0
blue by 9.2
5863
#16
24.84.3
21.926.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned