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Qual 62023 Bayou Regional
Red139
1650.3
766113.1
393749.2
Blue104
303954.0
181822.2
162244.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171076080100140160139104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
50.31.7
43.3→45.1
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
blue by 3.6
3039
#3
54.00.2
47.2→47.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Second
3937
#17
49.21.7
48.9→50.6
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
red by 4.4
1622
#8
44.80.2
36.8→36.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
Third
7661
#38
13.12.9
16.1→19.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 9.1
1818
#32
22.20.3
17.4→17.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed