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Qual 602023 Bayou Regional
Red104
880831.4
606831.8
408732.3
Blue94
162244.8
218337.4
766113.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91100608012014010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#9
32.31.1
28.2→29.3
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
blue by 12.5
1622
#8
44.80.1
42.3→42.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
Second
6068
#20
31.81.5
30.4→31.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End5.6
blue by 5.6
2183
#10
37.40.1
35.4→35.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.7
Third
8808
#19
31.41.1
28.4→29.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
red by 18.3
7661
#38
13.10.1
14.9→15.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed