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Red108
45633.7
709425.9
811825.2
Blue114
880831.4
728811.9
303954.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79109204060100120140160180108114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#7DQ
33.71.3
30.031.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End9.9
blue by 20.2
54.00.3
53.754.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Second
7094
#23
25.91.3
23.825.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End6.4
blue by 5.5
8808
#19
31.40.3
29.529.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Third
8118
#21
25.21.6
24.325.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9
red by 13.3
7288
#27
11.90.3
14.915.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned