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Red44
804429.2
728811.9
36434.8
Blue108
586324.8
880831.4
361637.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8897020030040044108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#13
34.83.0
37.334.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
blue by 3.0
3616
#15
37.80.9
36.337.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
8044
#14
29.23.0
31.128.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2
blue by 2.2
8808
#19
31.40.9
29.830.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Third
7288
#27
11.93.3
15.211.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 12.9
5863
#16
24.81.0
23.924.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned