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Red129
410722.8
1650.3
303954.0
Blue106
36434.8
159234.4
811825.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369350150129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.2
52.953.1
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 19.2
364
#13
34.80.3
34.334.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
Second
16
#2
50.30.2
49.349.4
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
red by 16.0
1592
#11
34.40.3
33.934.2
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
Third
4107
#37
22.80.2
21.821.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 2.4
8118
#21
25.20.3
24.725.0
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9