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Red141
862619.8
346759.7
12548.2
Blue115
24636.2
23835.6
287742.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712050100150200141115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.3
59.459.7
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 17.0
42.70.0
42.742.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
Second
125
#16
48.20.3
47.848.2
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
red by 11.9
246
#11
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Third
8626
#37
19.80.3
19.419.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 15.8
238
#21
35.60.0
35.635.6
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8