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Red130
346759.7
206744.3
573533.4
Blue82
870925.9
417625.8
490945.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146775010020013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.1
57.757.8
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 13.8
4909
#10
45.90.1
40.140.2
Auto15.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
2067
#15
44.30.1
43.743.8
Auto12.1
Teleop23.4
End8.9
red by 18.4
8709
#22
25.90.1
21.821.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Third
5735
#18
33.40.1
26.626.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 7.5
4176
#24
25.80.1
19.119.2
Auto9.9
Teleop9.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed