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Red102
176113.4
568748.6
192240.6
Blue111
802334.3
856726.9
24636.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966820406080120140160102111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.61.4
41.442.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
red by 12.4
246
#11
36.22.3
26.929.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Second
1922
#13
40.61.2
31.933.2
Auto11.3
Teleop22.9
End6.3
red by 6.3
34.32.5
23.626.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End7.9
Third
1761
#39
13.41.0
13.414.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 13.5
8567
#20
26.93.8
16.520.3
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned