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Red135
271341.8
802334.3
287742.7
Blue98
23052.7
417625.8
673114.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11186406010012014016018013598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.6
35.837.5
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
blue by 9.9
230
#5
52.71.0
46.747.6
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
Second
41.81.6
38.640.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
red by 15.9
4176
#24
25.81.0
21.322.3
Auto9.9
Teleop9.3
End6.6
Third
34.31.6
26.227.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.2
End7.9
red by 19.8
6731
#38
14.51.0
15.516.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned