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Red127
782221.5
24636.2
287742.7
Blue132
568748.6
573533.4
271341.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801264060100140160180127132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.4
37.539.9
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
blue by 5.9
48.61.1
44.345.4
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
Second
246
#11
36.22.4
30.432.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
blue by 5.6
41.81.0
40.241.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
Third
7822
#23
21.52.4
13.215.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End7.6
blue by 11.8
5735
#18
33.41.0
27.628.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned