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Red92
206744.3
19023.6
549423.4
Blue106
856726.9
23731.8
23835.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969770809010011012013092106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#15
44.30.1
46.546.6
Auto12.1
Teleop23.4
End8.9
red by 8.8
238
#21
35.60.7
33.033.7
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
Second
190
#28
23.60.2
23.623.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End7.3
blue by 8.2
237
#27
31.80.7
31.732.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6
Third
5494
#34
23.40.1
20.520.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End4.5
blue by 3.5
8567
#20
26.91.2
25.526.7
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsMissed